| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.5% | 70% | -7.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 67.7% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Max Schoenhaus | Matteo Martineau | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1553 | 1493 |
| Surface Elo | 1553 | 1493 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Matej Dodig | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Gijs Brouwer | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Emile Hudd | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Billy Blaydes | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 0 | Max Schoenhaus |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 16 Sep 06:15 |