OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Portugal Liga Portugal · Saturday 10 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Maritimo 0.40 1 - 2 3.00 Porto
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 61.2%74%-13.2%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 85.9%94%-7.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 79.8%91%-11.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.1%54%-2.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 50.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson11.2%20.2%68.6%
xgboost14.1%21.1%64.8%
logistic7.6%17.6%74.8%
Inputs the models saw
MaritimoPorto
Elo (pre-match)14331877
Surface Elo14331877
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.403.00
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.003.00
Season goals for / game1.003.00
Season goals against / game1.001.00
Rest days2119
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W7 W · 2 D
Maritimo: last 5
19 SepAGil Vicente1 - 1D
19 SepAGil Vicente1 - 1D
14 SepAMoreirense1 - 3L
05 SepHBenfica0 - 3L
29 AugAArouca1 - 2L
Porto: last 5
10 OctALeixoes SC2 - 1W
02 OctARC Deportivo de A Coruna3 - 1W
20 SepHBenfica3 - 1W
20 SepHBenfica3 - 1W
12 SepACasa Pia4 - 1W
Head to head
01 Feb 2023Maritimo0 - 2Porto
06 Aug 2022Porto5 - 1Maritimo
30 Jan 2022Porto2 - 1Maritimo
22 Aug 2021Maritimo1 - 1Porto
22 Feb 2021Maritimo1 - 2Porto
03 Oct 2020Porto2 - 3Maritimo
10 Jun 2020Porto1 - 0Maritimo
30 Oct 2019Maritimo1 - 1Porto
16 Mar 2019Porto3 - 0Maritimo
03 Nov 2018Maritimo0 - 2Porto
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.3673.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.2519.1%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home9.6510.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9152.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9351.8%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC