| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.2% | 55% | +0.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.8% | 53.1% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Benjamin Hassan | Ryan Nijboer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1520 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1520 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Carlos Taberner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Ryan Nijboer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Marvin Moeller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Ryan Nijboer | 2 - 0 | Benjamin Hassan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.91 | 52.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |