| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.0% | 62% | -4.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 48.0% | 51.9% |
| logistic | 63.7% | 36.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lisa Pigato | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Julia Avdeeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Eva Vedder | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Polona Hercog | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Adrienn Nagy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Gimbrere, Jasmijn | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Linda Klimovicova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Ekaterine Gorgodze | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Aurora Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Anna Bondar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Barbora Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 14 Oct 06:15 |