| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 47.4% | 42% | +5.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.1% | 76% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 62.8% | 57% | +5.7% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 67% | -7.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.8% | 22.6% | 49.7% |
| xgboost | 29.1% | 27.0% | 44.0% |
| logistic | 26.6% | 28.6% | 44.8% |
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1625 | 1699 |
| Surface Elo | 1625 | 1699 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.90 | 2.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Lazio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Lazio | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Roma | 2 - 4 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Roma | 2 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Bologna | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Torino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Lecce | 5 - 1 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Lecce | 5 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Atalanta | 4 - 4 | D |
| 21 Jan 2024 | Frosinone | 3 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Cagliari | 4 - 3 | Frosinone |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | Frosinone |
| 27 Nov 2022 | Frosinone | 2 - 2 | Cagliari |
| 20 Apr 2019 | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | Frosinone |
| 02 Dec 2018 | Frosinone | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.75 | 36.4% | 07 Nov 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.91 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.12 | 32.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |