| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.5% | 69% | -12.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.5% | 59.4% |
| logistic | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Serban, R | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1529 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1529 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Giorgia Pedone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Sapfo Sakellaridi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Nastasja Schunk | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Ruggeri, Jennifer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Carlota Martinez Cirez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Valentini Grammatikopoulou | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Laura Pigossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.45 | 69.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |