OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ Eredivisie · Sunday 18 October 2026, 10:15 UTC · finished
Zwolle 0.20 4 - 1 0.80 Go Ahead Eagles
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.8%50%-2.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.6%79%-3.3%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.9%66%-4.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 64.7%68%-3.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson27.4%24.6%48.0%
xgboost31.9%26.0%42.1%
logistic26.1%29.7%44.2%
Inputs the models saw
ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles
Elo (pre-match)14391539
Surface Elo14391539
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.80
Form trend0.10-0.20
Season points per game0.501.38
Season goals for / game0.752.38
Season goals against / game2.632.13
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W4 W · 4 D
Zwolle: last 5
11 OctHCambuur0 - 1L
11 OctHCambuur0 - 1L
18 SepAGroningen0 - 3L
13 SepHFeyenoord0 - 7L
04 SepASparta Rotterdam2 - 2D
Go Ahead Eagles: last 5
10 OctHSparta Rotterdam3 - 3D
10 OctHSparta Rotterdam3 - 3D
20 SepANijmegen1 - 1D
20 SepANijmegen1 - 1D
12 SepHGroningen1 - 1D
Head to head
05 Apr 2026Go Ahead Eagles5 - 0Zwolle
21 Sep 2025Zwolle0 - 2Go Ahead Eagles
11 May 2025Zwolle1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
03 Nov 2024Go Ahead Eagles2 - 2Zwolle
11 Feb 2024Go Ahead Eagles1 - 1Zwolle
17 Sep 2023Zwolle1 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
03 Apr 2022Zwolle0 - 1Go Ahead Eagles
19 Sep 2021Go Ahead Eagles1 - 0Zwolle
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.8554.0%18 Oct 11:15
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%18 Oct 11:15
Bet3651X2home3.8026.3%18 Oct 11:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%18 Oct 11:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%18 Oct 11:15
SportyBet1X2away2.0349.3%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9825.1%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5028.6%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4967.1%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.7037.0%18 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC