| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.2% | 79% | -25.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.7% | 61.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.9% | 35.1% |
| logistic | 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Nicolas Zanellato | Mateo Barreiros Reyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1454 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1454 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 25 | 79 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Breno Braga | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jun | A | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Maximo Zeitune | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Aug | A | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Jun | H | Tommaso Compagnucci | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Jun | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.85 | 26.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |