| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.0% | 83% | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 82.6% | 17.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 61.7% | 38.2% |
| logistic | 78.9% | 21.1% |
| Maria Sakkari | Nao Hibino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1347 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1347 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 11 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Nao Hibino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Kristina Mladenovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Magdalena Frech | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | A | Clara Tauson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Mia Pohankova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 0 | Nao Hibino |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 0 | Nao Hibino |
| 20 Jan 2020 | Maria Sakkari | 2 - 0 | Nao Hibino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.18 | 84.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |