| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.8% | 78% | -10.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 32.5% | 67.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 23.5% | 76.5% |
| logistic | 30.9% | 69.1% |
| Dali Blanch | Henrique Rocha | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1508 | 1733 |
| Surface Elo | 1508 | 1733 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Milos Karol | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Sumit Nagal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sumit Nagal | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Dali Blanch | 0 - 2 | Henrique Rocha |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 19 Oct 06:15 |