| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.4% | 28% | +20.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 75.1% | 53% | +22.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.9% | 36% | +27.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 71% | -15.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 13.7% | 23.9% | 62.4% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 28.3% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 28.9% | 28.9% | 42.1% |
| Shrewsbury | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1402 | 1690 |
| Surface Elo | 1402 | 1690 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rotherham | 3 - 3 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Rotherham | 3 - 3 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 3 - 2 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Bristol Rovers | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Arsenal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Arsenal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Chelsea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Hull | 2 - 2 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.83 | 54.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.42 | 70.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 27 Oct 06:15 |