| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.9% | 52% | -1.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.5% | 78% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.1% | 70% | -4.5% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 64% | -5.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 46.5% | 24.6% | 28.9% |
| xgboost | 41.2% | 28.1% | 30.7% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 27.4% | 24.7% |
| Heidenheim | Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1523 | 1490 |
| Surface Elo | 1523 | 1490 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 19 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 02 Oct | H | Wurzburger Kickers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Stuttgart | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Bielefeld | 2 - 2 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Holstein Kiel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Braunschweig | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Braunschweig | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Magdeburg | 0 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Darmstadt | 3 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | St Pauli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Kaiserslautern | 2 - 2 | Heidenheim |
| 18 Sep 2022 | Heidenheim | 2 - 2 | Kaiserslautern |
| 06 May 2018 | Kaiserslautern | 1 - 0 | Heidenheim |
| 01 Dec 2017 | Heidenheim | 3 - 2 | Kaiserslautern |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.55 | 64.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |