| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.0% | 45% | +2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.3% | 79% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.6% | 60% | +2.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 73% | -16.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 39.7% | 24.5% | 35.8% |
| xgboost | 55.1% | 22.2% | 22.7% |
| logistic | 45.7% | 27.1% | 27.1% |
| Hertha Berlin | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1575 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1575 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | SSV Jeddeloh II | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Osnabruck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Osnabruck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Freiburg | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 May 2023 | Wolfsburg | 1 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 5 | Wolfsburg |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Wolfsburg | 0 - 0 | Hertha Berlin |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | Wolfsburg |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Wolfsburg | 2 - 0 | Hertha Berlin |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 1 | Wolfsburg |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Wolfsburg | 1 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| 25 Aug 2019 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 3 | Wolfsburg |
| 02 Feb 2019 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | Wolfsburg |
| 15 Sep 2018 | Wolfsburg | 2 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.37 | 73.0% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |