| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.3% | 85% | -19.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 17.3% | 82.7% |
| logistic | 40.3% | 59.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Fares Zakaria | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1454 | 1562 |
| Surface Elo | 1454 | 1562 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Oct | H | Adam Bajurko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Courtney John Lock | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Robert Strombachs | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Luca Castagnola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Poritskyy, Andriy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Allan Gatoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Dorian Tremblay | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Jack Loge | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Emilien Demanet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Isaac Nortey | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.50 | 22.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |