OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
St Mirren 0.00 2 - 1 1.60 Dundee
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 43.0%45%-2.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 75.5%78%-2.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 53.0%60%-7.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.6%61%+2.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson38.0%27.4%34.6%
xgboost35.2%24.5%40.2%
logistic39.1%28.5%32.3%
Inputs the models saw
St MirrenDundee
Elo (pre-match)15611650
Surface Elo15611650
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.001.60
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game0.002.33
Season goals for / game0.332.00
Season goals against / game3.671.33
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W5 W · 2 D
St Mirren: last 5
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
13 OctAEdinburgh City5 - 0W
10 OctAHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 5L
10 OctAHearts0 - 5L
Dundee: last 5
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
10 OctAFalkirk2 - 1W
10 OctAFalkirk2 - 1W
25 SepASpartans0 - 1L
Head to head
02 May 2026Dundee1 - 0St Mirren
31 Jan 2026St Mirren0 - 0Dundee
29 Nov 2025Dundee3 - 1St Mirren
27 Sep 2025St Mirren1 - 0Dundee
05 Apr 2025Dundee2 - 0St Mirren
29 Dec 2024St Mirren1 - 2Dundee
31 Aug 2024Dundee2 - 2St Mirren
04 May 2024Dundee1 - 3St Mirren
07 Feb 2024St Mirren2 - 0Dundee
11 Nov 2023Dundee4 - 0St Mirren
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.0832.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7726.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2245.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6560.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC