| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 59% | -7.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Andrew Fenty | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1415 | 1472 |
| Surface Elo | 1415 | 1472 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 28 | 42 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Aug | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Keshav Chopra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Aug | H | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | J.J. Wolf | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Trevor Svajda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Masamichi Imamura | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | Sanhui Shin | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 21 Sep 06:15 |