| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.1% | 88% | -4.6% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 89.0% | 10.9% |
| logistic | 75.6% | 24.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Iva Jovic | Mia Pohankova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1835 | 1555 |
| Surface Elo | 1835 | 1555 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.43 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 15 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Maja Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Dayana Yastremska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Harriet Dart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Xiyu Wang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Anna Bondar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Maria Timofeeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Katie Swan | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.00 | 16.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |