OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-26
🎾 ATP Chengdu, China Men Singles · Saturday 26 September 2026, 03:00 UTC · finished
Juan Manuel Cerundolo 1.80 0 - 2 1.80 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 54.0%63%-8.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov39.9%60.1%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost56.9%43.1%
logistic44.2%55.8%
Inputs the models saw
Juan Manuel CerundoloAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
Elo (pre-match)18561945
Surface Elo18561945
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend0.300.60
Season points per game3.001.50
Season goals for / game2.001.50
Season goals against / game0.001.50
Rest days171
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W2 W · 0 D
Juan Manuel Cerundolo: last 5
26 SepAAlejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 2L
24 SepHYi Zhou2 - 0W
24 SepHYi Zhou2 - 0W
01 SepAArthur Gea2 - 3L
28 AugAIgnacio Buse1 - 2L
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5
26 SepHJuan Manuel Cerundolo2 - 0W
17 JulHAlex Molcan1 - 2L
15 JulHMarco Trungelliti2 - 0W
05 JulHFelix Auger Aliassime2 - 3L
03 JulHMarton Fucsovics3 - 0W
Head to head
26 Sep 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 0Juan Manuel Cerundolo
29 Jun 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina3 - 0Juan Manuel Cerundolo
28 Aug 2023Alejandro Davidovich Fokina3 - 0Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5962.9%25 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4540.8%25 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:24 UTC