| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.5% | 87% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 91.3% | 8.6% |
| logistic | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Darwin Blanch | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1698 | 1467 |
| Surface Elo | 1698 | 1467 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Andres Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Braden Shick | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | Patrick Maloney |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.90 | 20.4% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.15 | 87.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |