OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Cercle Brugge 0.20 1 - 2 2.00 Anderlecht
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 51.1%51%-0.1%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.0%79%-3.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 65.1%69%-3.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.3%44%+8.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 52.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson32.3%25.9%41.7%
xgboost27.0%24.9%48.1%
logistic26.0%26.8%47.3%
Inputs the models saw
Cercle BruggeAnderlecht
Elo (pre-match)14691592
Surface Elo14691592
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.202.00
Form trend-0.10-0.60
Season points per game0.431.86
Season goals for / game1.141.00
Season goals against / game2.000.71
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Cercle Brugge: last 5
27 SepHKVK Tienen1 - 3L
19 SepACharleroi2 - 3L
19 SepACharleroi2 - 3L
12 SepAOud-Heverlee Leuven1 - 1D
06 SepHGent0 - 3L
Anderlecht: last 5
19 SepHSV Zulte Waregem3 - 0W
19 SepHWaregem3 - 0W
11 SepAMechelen1 - 0W
06 SepHGenk0 - 0D
03 SepHKortrijk1 - 0W
Head to head
22 Mar 2026Anderlecht2 - 3Cercle Brugge
03 Aug 2025Cercle Brugge0 - 2Anderlecht
16 Mar 2025Anderlecht3 - 0Cercle Brugge
10 Nov 2024Cercle Brugge0 - 5Anderlecht
28 Apr 2024Cercle Brugge1 - 1Anderlecht
24 Apr 2024Anderlecht3 - 0Cercle Brugge
27 Dec 2023Anderlecht2 - 0Cercle Brugge
05 Nov 2023Cercle Brugge0 - 3Anderlecht
12 Mar 2023Anderlecht2 - 0Cercle Brugge
30 Jul 2022Cercle Brugge1 - 0Anderlecht
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.9551.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.2530.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%10 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.0050.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8326.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.5927.9%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6261.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC