| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.4% | 75% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.4% | 65.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 17.9% | 82.1% |
| logistic | 31.4% | 68.6% |
| Ryan Nijboer | Alexander Ritschard | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1686 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1686 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Nicolas Ifi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Pierre Delage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Cedric Stanke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Francesco Forti | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Juan Mano, Alejandro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Miguel Damas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Iannis Miletich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Sebastian Ofner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Roberto Carballes Baena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Jan | H | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |