| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.9% | 53% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.7% | 55.1% |
| logistic | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| Zsombor Piros | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1738 | 1697 |
| Surface Elo | 1738 | 1697 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.64 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 0 - 1 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Dalibor Svrcina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Alexander Ritschard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Alexander Donski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Michael Mmoh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | August Holmgren | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |