OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-19
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Saturday 19 September 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.60 3 - 4 1.40 Mainz
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 37.2%33%+3.9%✗ miss
DCHome or away 72.7%79%-6.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 51.1%45%+6.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 85.6%65%+20.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.2%27.3%35.5%
logisticfailed: ValueError
xgboostfailed: ValueError
Inputs the models saw
Borussia MönchengladbachMainz
Elo (pre-match)15471616
Surface Elo15471616
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.40
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game0.001.33
Season goals for / game1.002.00
Season goals against / game4.001.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W3 W · 6 D
Borussia Mönchengladbach: last 5
12 SepAFreiburg0 - 5L
05 SepHElversberg3 - 4L
29 AugARB Leipzig0 - 3L
16 MayHHoffenheim4 - 0W
09 MayAAugsburg1 - 3L
Mainz: last 5
12 SepHEintracht Frankfurt1 - 3L
06 SepAHamburg5 - 0W
29 AugHPaderborn0 - 0D
16 MayAHeidenheim2 - 0W
10 MayHUnion Berlin1 - 3L
Head to head
19 Apr 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 1Mainz
05 Dec 2025Mainz0 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
07 Mar 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 3Mainz
25 Oct 2024Mainz1 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
02 Mar 2024Mainz1 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
06 Oct 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach2 - 2Mainz
24 Feb 2023Mainz4 - 0Borussia Mönchengladbach
04 Sep 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach0 - 1Mainz
03 Apr 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach1 - 1Mainz
05 Nov 2021Mainz1 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.1047.6%19 Sep 14:30
Bet3651X2draw3.7526.7%19 Sep 14:30
Bet3651X2home3.2031.2%19 Sep 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%19 Sep 14:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3842.0%19 Sep 14:30
Generated 2026-10-30 19:28 UTC