| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.1% | 61% | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.8% | 63.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| logistic | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Kai Wehnelt | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1404 | 1520 |
| Surface Elo | 1404 | 1520 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Gianluca Cadenasso | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Lorenzo Angelini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |