| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.4% | 75% | -2.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| logistic | 8.8% | 91.2% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | Daniil Medvedev | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1500 | 2126 |
| Surface Elo | 1500 | 2126 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 702 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 25 Nov | H | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Nov | H | Jelle Sels | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Nov | H | Eric Vanshelboim | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Nicolas Alvarez Varona | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Terence Atmane | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.46 | 28.9% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.50 | 28.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.30 | 76.9% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.50 | 28.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.30 | 76.9% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.95 | 25.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 4.00 | 25.0% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Daniil Medvedev | 1.34 | 74.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.68 | 27.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.30 | 76.9% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.35 | 29.8% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.60 | 27.8% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.29 | 77.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.42 | 29.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.95 | 25.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 4.00 | 25.0% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Daniil Medvedev | 1.34 | 74.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.35 | 29.8% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.78 | 26.5% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.31 | 76.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.15 | 31.8% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.28 | 78.1% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.40 | 29.4% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.27 | 78.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.27 | 78.7% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.50 | 28.6% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.30 | 76.9% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.55 | 28.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.33 | 75.2% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Daniil Medvedev | 1.30 | 76.9% | 28 Oct 06:01 |