| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.5% | 68% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.7% | 37.3% |
| logistic | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Jasmine Paolini | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1696 | 1495 |
| Surface Elo | 1696 | 1495 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Iva Jovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Anhelina Kalinina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sara Bejlek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Jasmine Paolini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Simona Waltert | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Janice Tjen | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | 0 - 2 | Jasmine Paolini |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.46 | 68.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |