| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.6% | 59% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.9% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Eliakim Coulibaly | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1573 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1573 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | A | Larue, Louis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Nikita Ianin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Larue, Louis | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | John Echeverria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Aziz Ouakaa | 1 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Fares Zakaria | 1 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Allan Gatoto | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Dorian Tremblay | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Jack Loge | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Emilien Demanet | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.04 | 49.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |