| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.1% | 42% | +2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 77% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 58.5% | 57% | +1.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.5% | 61% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.8% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.2% | 26.6% | 29.1% |
| xgboost | 43.1% | 24.6% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 40.1% | 27.8% | 32.1% |
| Magdeburg | St Pauli | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1463 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1463 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 1 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Darmstadt | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Darmstadt | 1 - 1 | D |
| 28 Oct | A | Bayern München | 1 - 6 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Karlsruhe | 6 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Karlsruher SC | 6 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | 1 FC Nuremberg | 1 - 3 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Nurnberg | 1 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Darmstadt | 0 - 0 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Darmstadt | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Hannover | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Magdeburg | 1 - 0 | St Pauli |
| 27 Aug 2023 | St Pauli | 0 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Magdeburg | 1 - 2 | St Pauli |
| 14 Aug 2022 | St Pauli | 3 - 0 | Magdeburg |
| 22 Dec 2018 | St Pauli | 4 - 1 | Magdeburg |
| 05 Aug 2018 | Magdeburg | 1 - 2 | St Pauli |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 06 Nov 06:15 |