| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.1% | 75% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| logistic | 65.3% | 34.7% |
| Hugo Grenier | Christian Langmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1406 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1406 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 13 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | A | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Sebastian Baez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Roman Safiullin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Jul | A | Akira Santillan | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Marek Gengel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Max Basing | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Adrian Boitan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Jul | H | Yibing Wu | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 20 Sep 06:16 |