OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ Scotland Championship · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Partick 1.20 3 - 0 1.40 Arbroath
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.1%70%-15.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 80.1%92%-12.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 72.0%88%-16.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.4%53%+1.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 54.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.4%26.3%19.2%
xgboost57.0%24.9%18.0%
logistic63.3%22.2%14.5%
Inputs the models saw
PartickArbroath
Elo (pre-match)16421544
Surface Elo16421544
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.201.40
Form trend0.100.10
Season points per game1.001.50
Season goals for / game0.001.00
Season goals against / game0.001.00
Rest days147
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Partick: last 5
19 SepHRaith Rvs0 - 0D
19 SepHRaith Rovers FC0 - 0D
15 SepAStenhousemuir0 - 1L
05 SepHAyr1 - 0W
29 AugHQueens Park0 - 0D
Arbroath: last 5
25 SepHQueens Park2 - 1W
25 SepHQueens Park2 - 1W
19 SepAStenhousemuir0 - 1L
19 SepAStenhousemuir0 - 1L
12 SepARaith Rvs0 - 4L
Head to head
25 Apr 2026Arbroath0 - 0Partick
28 Feb 2026Partick0 - 0Arbroath
13 Dec 2025Arbroath2 - 1Partick
04 Oct 2025Partick1 - 1Arbroath
23 Mar 2024Arbroath0 - 1Partick
06 Jan 2024Partick4 - 0Arbroath
04 Nov 2023Arbroath1 - 3Partick
23 Sep 2023Partick0 - 3Arbroath
29 Apr 2023Partick2 - 0Arbroath
25 Feb 2023Arbroath0 - 0Partick
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away7.4013.5%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.5022.2%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4270.4%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8454.4%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9052.6%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC