| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.4% | 58% | -1.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 81.9% | 84% | -2.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 75.3% | 77% | -1.8% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 61% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| xgboost | 68.7% | 15.3% | 15.9% |
| logistic | 60.1% | 24.2% | 15.7% |
| Barnet | Oldham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1583 | 1411 |
| Surface Elo | 1583 | 1411 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.10 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.30 | 1.18 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.55 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Swindon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Tranmere | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Bristol Rvs | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Walsall | 0 - 3 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Walsall | 0 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Leeds | 4 - 2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 3 - 2 | Oldham |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Oldham | 1 - 1 | Barnet |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Oldham | 0 - 3 | Barnet |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Barnet | 0 - 0 | Oldham |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Barnet |
| 22 Nov 2023 | Barnet | 1 - 4 | Oldham |
| 28 Feb 2023 | Barnet | 1 - 3 | Oldham |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Oldham | 0 - 2 | Barnet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.63 | 61.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |