OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Borussia Dortmund 2.20 1 - 0 1.00 Eintracht Frankfurt
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.7%66%-3.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 86.9%85%+1.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 82.8%81%+1.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.6%74%-18.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson66.3%18.2%15.5%
xgboost68.1%18.9%12.9%
logistic69.8%20.0%10.2%
Inputs the models saw
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
Elo (pre-match)18001601
Surface Elo18001601
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.201.00
Form trend0.600.10
Season points per game1.001.50
Season goals for / game1.000.50
Season goals against / game1.003.00
Rest days714
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W1 W · 2 D
Borussia Dortmund: last 5
20 OctASabah Masazir2 - 1W
17 OctAUnion Berlin0 - 0D
17 OctAUnion Berlin0 - 0D
14 OctABodoe/Glimt0 - 1L
09 OctHWerder Bremen2 - 2D
Eintracht Frankfurt: last 5
16 OctHFC Koln1 - 0W
10 OctARB Leipzig0 - 6L
10 OctARB Leipzig0 - 6L
19 SepHFreiburg2 - 2D
12 SepAMainz3 - 1W
Head to head
08 May 2026Borussia Dortmund3 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt
09 Jan 2026Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 3Borussia Dortmund
17 Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt2 - 0Borussia Dortmund
24 Aug 2024Borussia Dortmund2 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
17 Mar 2024Borussia Dortmund3 - 1Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Oct 2023Eintracht Frankfurt3 - 3Borussia Dortmund
22 Apr 2023Borussia Dortmund4 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
29 Oct 2022Eintracht Frankfurt1 - 2Borussia Dortmund
08 Jan 2022Eintracht Frankfurt2 - 3Borussia Dortmund
14 Aug 2021Borussia Dortmund5 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.8117.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.3518.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5166.2%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3574.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.3030.3%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC