| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.9% | 65% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.7% | 23.2% |
| logistic | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Dali Blanch | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1563 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1563 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Tiago Cacao | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Gabriele Bosio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | A | Alex Molcan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Jun | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 11 Oct 06:15 |