| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.8% | 60% | -1.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.7% | 64.2% |
| logistic | 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Jonas Forejtek | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1612 | 1693 |
| Surface Elo | 1612 | 1693 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 09 Oct | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Sandro Kopp | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Kalin Ivanovski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Massimo Giunta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | Jonas Forejtek |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 06:15 |