| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 75.5% | 66% | +9.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 20.1% | 79.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| logistic | 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Botic Van De Zandschulp | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1596 | 1869 |
| Surface Elo | 1596 | 1869 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Sep | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Miomir Kecmanovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Federico Cina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Naoya Honda | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Sep | A | Alexander Zverev | 0 - 3 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Zizou Bergs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Alex De Minaur | 3 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0 - 2 | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.51 | 66.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.65 | 37.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |