OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-07
⚽ Scottish League Two · Saturday 07 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · finished
Stranraer 2.20 3 - 0 2.20 Stirling
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 56.3%58%-2.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 80.9%84%-3.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 74.4%77%-2.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.7%64%-5.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.7%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson55.1%24.6%20.4%
xgboost60.2%23.5%16.2%
logistic53.7%25.6%20.7%
Inputs the models saw
StranraerStirling
Elo (pre-match)14531342
Surface Elo14531342
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.20
Form trend0.20-0.20
Season points per game2.001.25
Season goals for / game2.081.58
Season goals against / game0.752.17
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Stranraer: last 5
31 OctHClyde0 - 0D
31 OctHClyde0 - 0D
17 OctASpartans2 - 0W
17 OctASpartans2 - 0W
10 OctAAnnan Athletic6 - 1W
Stirling: last 5
03 NovAEast Kilbride3 - 7L
31 OctHForfar5 - 2W
31 OctHForfar5 - 2W
17 OctADumbarton1 - 1D
17 OctADumbarton1 - 1D
Head to head
22 Aug 2026Stirling2 - 2Stranraer
25 Apr 2026Stranraer1 - 1Stirling
31 Jan 2026Stirling1 - 1Stranraer
06 Dec 2025Stranraer3 - 2Stirling
30 Aug 2025Stirling1 - 0Stranraer
12 Apr 2025Stirling3 - 1Stranraer
22 Feb 2025Stranraer3 - 0Stirling
21 Dec 2024Stirling1 - 1Stranraer
28 Sep 2024Stranraer0 - 2Stirling
18 Mar 2023Stranraer1 - 1Stirling
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.0025.0%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%07 Nov 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.6560.6%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5365.4%07 Nov 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3842.0%07 Nov 15:00
SportyBet1X2away4.0025.0%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9025.6%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7656.8%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5564.5%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC