| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.6% | 81% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 12.3% | 87.7% |
| logistic | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Vladyslav Orlov | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1336 | 1598 |
| Surface Elo | 1336 | 1598 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Matthew Asciak | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Johan Nikles | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Guilherme Valdoleiros | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Michael Geerts | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | A | Mili Poljicak | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Mathieu Scaglia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Adrien Gobat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.23 | 81.3% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.75 | 26.7% | 29 Oct 06:15 |