| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.6% | 47% | -0.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.2% | 76% | -1.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 64.2% | 65% | -0.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.9% | 59% | +10.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 67.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.1% | 30.3% | 28.6% |
| xgboost | 49.7% | 30.1% | 20.2% |
| logistic | 44.9% | 27.9% | 27.2% |
| Crewe | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1478 | 1417 |
| Surface Elo | 1478 | 1417 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.70 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Barnet | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Barnet | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 5 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Chesterfield | 1 - 5 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Boreham Wood | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Mansfield | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Nov | H | Mansfield | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Bromley | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Bromley | 3 - 2 | W |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Crewe | 0 - 2 | Wigan |
| 15 Feb 2022 | Wigan | 2 - 0 | Crewe |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Wigan | 2 - 0 | Crewe |
| 10 Oct 2020 | Crewe | 3 - 0 | Wigan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |