| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 75.0% | 77% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| ensemble | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Buffalo Bills | Los Angeles Chargers | |
|---|---|---|
| playoff | 0.00 | |
| elo diff | 0.26 | |
| form diff | 0.38 | |
| rest diff | 0.40 | |
| home field | 1.00 | |
| point diff | 0.73 | |
| opponent strength diff | -0.02 | |
| Information cutoff (UTC) | 2026-09-26T17:00:00+00:00 | |
| 18 Sep | H | Detroit Lions | 41 - 31 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Houston Texans | 36 - 31 | W |
| 17 Jan | A | Denver Broncos | 30 - 33 | L |
| 11 Jan | A | Jacksonville Jaguars | 27 - 24 | W |
| 04 Jan | H | New York Jets | 35 - 8 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Las Vegas Raiders | 14 - 26 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Arizona Cardinals | 14 - 26 | L |
| 12 Jan | A | New England Patriots | 3 - 16 | L |
| 04 Jan | A | Denver Broncos | 3 - 19 | L |
| 27 Dec | H | Houston Texans | 16 - 20 | L |
| 24 Dec 2023 | Los Angeles Chargers | 22 - 24 | Buffalo Bills |
| 29 Nov 2020 | Buffalo Bills | 27 - 17 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 16 Sep 2018 | Buffalo Bills | 20 - 31 | Los Angeles Chargers |
| 19 Nov 2017 | Los Angeles Chargers | 54 - 24 | Buffalo Bills |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 27 Sep 14:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 3.84 | 26.0% | 27 Sep 14:20 |