| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.3% | 69% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.3% | 26.6% |
| logistic | 61.2% | 38.8% |
| Tom Gentzsch | Georgii Kravchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1678 | 1533 |
| Surface Elo | 1678 | 1533 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Niels Visker | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Georgii Kravchenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Niels Visker | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Daniel Masur | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Laurent Lokoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Alexander Donski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Georgii Kravchenko | 1 - 2 | Tom Gentzsch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.44 | 69.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |