| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 83.5% | 88% | -5.0% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 85.6% | 14.3% |
| logistic | 78.2% | 21.8% |
| Matias Soto | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 10 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Frazier Rengifo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Samuel Heredia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Blaise Bicknell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Volodymyr Gurenko | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Max Dahlin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Gustavo Albieri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | John Hallquist Lithen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Jul 2023 | Alexander Bernard | 2 - 0 | Matias Soto |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 11 Nov 06:15 |