OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-23
⚽ France Ligue 2 · Friday 23 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Pau FC 2.00 2 - 1 0.80 Grenoble
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.2%55%-1.5%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.6%83%-3.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.8%74%-3.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 63.4%49%+14.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.6%27.5%31.9%
xgboost61.2%22.0%16.7%
logistic58.4%25.3%16.3%
Inputs the models saw
Pau FCGrenoble
Elo (pre-match)14371409
Surface Elo14371409
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.80
Form trend-0.700.30
Season points per game3.000.00
Season goals for / game2.500.00
Season goals against / game1.502.00
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W2 W · 5 D
Pau FC: last 5
16 OctAGuingamp2 - 1W
16 OctAGuingamp2 - 1W
09 OctHLaval3 - 2W
09 OctHStade Lavallois MFC3 - 2W
18 SepHDunkerque2 - 0W
Grenoble: last 5
16 OctHBoulogne0 - 2L
16 OctHBoulogne0 - 2L
09 OctAMontpellier0 - 2L
09 OctAMontpellier0 - 2L
18 SepHClermont1 - 1D
Head to head
23 Jan 2026Pau FC2 - 2Grenoble
17 Oct 2025Grenoble1 - 1Pau FC
28 Feb 2025Pau FC1 - 0Grenoble
30 Aug 2024Grenoble1 - 1Pau FC
24 Feb 2024Grenoble0 - 1Pau FC
28 Oct 2023Pau FC3 - 2Grenoble
11 Feb 2023Grenoble1 - 1Pau FC
10 Jan 2023Pau FC0 - 0Grenoble
15 Mar 2022Pau FC0 - 1Grenoble
02 Oct 2021Grenoble2 - 0Pau FC
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away4.2523.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8554.0%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7557.1%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC