| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 47% | +6.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.4% | 57.4% |
| logistic | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Nicolas Arseneault | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1455 | 1486 |
| Surface Elo | 1455 | 1486 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 18 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Oct | H | Rodrigo Fernandes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Tomasz Berkieta | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Eli Stephenson | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Aug | A | Andres Martin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Michal Krajci | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Fares Zakaria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Arthur Bouquier | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Tom Gentzsch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |