| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.5% | 53% | +8.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.7% | 41.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.3% | 48.5% |
| logistic | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Billy Harris | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1612 | 1527 |
| Surface Elo | 1612 | 1527 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 4 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | A | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Kuan Yu Chen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Kuan-Shou Chen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Rei Sakamoto | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Petr Bar Biryukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Jake Delaney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Naoya Honda | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep 2023 | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | Liam Broady |
| 14 Aug 2023 | Billy Harris | 0 - 2 | Liam Broady |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.85 | 54.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |