| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 48.9% | 55% | -6.3% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.3% | 86% | -8.2% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.4% | 76% | -8.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | no line | ||
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.8% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.4% | 26.7% | 23.9% |
| xgboost | 47.0% | 30.8% | 22.2% |
| logistic | 46.8% | 34.3% | 19.0% |
| Osasuna | Logrones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1405 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1405 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 1993 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Utebo FC | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Nov | H | Athletic Club | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Nov | A | RC Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | La Coruna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | A | Amorebieta | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Nov | H | CF Calamocha | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Mirandes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Real Aviles CF | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Cultural Leonesa | 1 - 1 | D |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |