OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:30 UTC · finished
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.00 1 - 2 0.60 Hoffenheim
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 46.6%49%-2.2%✓ hit
DCHome or away 77.7%81%-3.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 57.8%64%-6.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 69.5%71%-2.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 68.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.8%23.4%35.8%
xgboost27.1%22.1%50.8%
logistic31.2%26.7%42.1%
Inputs the models saw
Borussia MönchengladbachHoffenheim
Elo (pre-match)15171609
Surface Elo15171609
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.000.60
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game0.000.60
Season goals for / game1.401.80
Season goals against / game3.602.60
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W2 W · 2 D
Borussia Mönchengladbach: last 5
11 OctAFC Koln1 - 2L
19 SepHMainz3 - 4L
12 SepAFreiburg0 - 5L
05 SepHElversberg3 - 4L
29 AugARB Leipzig0 - 3L
Hoffenheim: last 5
18 OctHSC Verl2 - 1W
15 OctHBesiktas2 - 3L
13 OctAStuttgart2 - 3L
10 OctADuisburg2 - 3L
10 OctHHamburg2 - 3L
Head to head
16 May 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach4 - 0Hoffenheim
14 Jan 2026Hoffenheim5 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
03 May 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach4 - 4Hoffenheim
21 Dec 2024Hoffenheim1 - 2Borussia Mönchengladbach
20 Apr 2024Hoffenheim4 - 3Borussia Mönchengladbach
02 Dec 2023Borussia Mönchengladbach2 - 1Hoffenheim
28 Jan 2023Hoffenheim1 - 4Borussia Mönchengladbach
06 Aug 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach3 - 1Hoffenheim
14 May 2022Borussia Mönchengladbach5 - 1Hoffenheim
18 Dec 2021Hoffenheim1 - 1Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2045.5%18 Oct 16:30
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%18 Oct 16:30
Bet3651X2home2.8035.7%18 Oct 16:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3375.2%18 Oct 16:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.4029.4%18 Oct 16:30
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC