| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.6% | 70% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 64.4% | 35.5% |
| logistic | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Francesco Maestrelli | Jack Loge | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1612 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1612 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.62 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.15 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Peter Makk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Francesco Forti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Gabriel Diallo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Odysseas Geladaris | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Cem Ilkel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Eliakim Coulibaly | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Domingos, Daniel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.42 | 70.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |