| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.1% | 55% | +8.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.5% | 80% | +5.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 77.9% | 72% | +6.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 38% | +9.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 42.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.9% | 27.2% | 26.9% |
| xgboost | 46.0% | 28.5% | 25.6% |
| logistic | 47.4% | 28.2% | 24.5% |
| Hannover | Bochum | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1508 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1508 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 11 Sep | A | Nurnberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | H | Karlsruhe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Darmstadt | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Wolfsburg | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Aug | A | Cottbus | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Greuther Furth | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Dresden | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Aug | H | Osnabruck | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Braunschweig | 1 - 0 | W |
| 07 Aug | H | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 May 2026 | Bochum | 1 - 1 | Hannover |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Hannover | 0 - 0 | Bochum |
| 18 Apr 2021 | Bochum | 4 - 3 | Hannover |
| 15 Dec 2020 | Hannover | 2 - 0 | Bochum |
| 28 Jun 2020 | Hannover | 2 - 0 | Bochum |
| 13 Dec 2019 | Bochum | 2 - 1 | Hannover |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.90 | 52.6% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.48 | 67.6% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.60 | 38.5% | 20 Sep 12:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 20 Sep 06:15 |