| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.5% | 58% | -2.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.9% | 85% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 72.4% | 78% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 53% | +6.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 23.5% | 24.9% | 51.6% |
| xgboost | 17.2% | 17.9% | 64.8% |
| logistic | 22.9% | 25.6% | 51.5% |
| Udinese | Ac Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1579 | 1776 |
| Surface Elo | 1579 | 1776 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 0.57 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.29 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 5 W · 2 D |
| 18 Oct | H | Lecce | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Lecce | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Torino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Pogon Szczecin | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Club Milano SSD | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Oct | A | Bournemouth | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Atalanta | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Atalanta | 3 - 2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Chievo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Ac Milan | 0 - 3 | Udinese |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Udinese | 0 - 3 | Ac Milan |
| 11 Apr 2025 | Udinese | 0 - 4 | Ac Milan |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Ac Milan | 1 - 0 | Udinese |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Udinese | 2 - 3 | Ac Milan |
| 04 Nov 2023 | Ac Milan | 0 - 1 | Udinese |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Udinese | 3 - 1 | Ac Milan |
| 13 Aug 2022 | Ac Milan | 4 - 2 | Udinese |
| 25 Feb 2022 | Ac Milan | 1 - 1 | Udinese |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Udinese | 1 - 1 | Ac Milan |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.73 | 57.8% | 25 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.75 | 21.1% | 25 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 25 Oct 19:45 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 25 Oct 19:45 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.59 | 21.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.97 | 50.8% | 25 Oct 06:15 |