| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.3% | 30% | +17.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | 77% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.7% | 42% | +19.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 59% | -4.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.7% | 26.9% | 35.4% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 32.0% | 28.3% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 27.0% | 24.7% |
| Quevilly Rouen | Orleans | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1354 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1354 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.17 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 882 | 2412 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | AS Cannes | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Bourg Peronnas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Amiens | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Sep | A | Caen | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | SC Aubagne Air Bel | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | AS Cannes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 09 Mar | A | Lens | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Feb | H | Troyes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Feb | A | Le Havre | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Feb | H | Ajaccio | 0 - 3 | L |
| 13 Apr 2018 | Orleans | 2 - 1 | Quevilly Rouen |
| 17 Nov 2017 | Quevilly Rouen | 1 - 0 | Orleans |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.69 | 59.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |